I received the following message just now, which was likely just the end of the call:
TRANSCRIPT: …They are not willing to let you vote yes or no on bingo. If you believe that you should have the right to vote on bingo, please press 1. If not, Press. 2.
No identification of who is conducting the poll in the tail end, but it may have been before my voicemail started recording…the phone number was from the 256 area code, but I was unable to trace it to a source. Anyone else getting this message and does anyone know how the recorded message starts?
Digging a little deeper into the end-of-year fundraising reports that were due yesterday, we can look at the playing field in the Alabama Senate. I thought the most useful way to sort the data below was by cash on hand, so that is how the table below displays.
What immediately jumps out is the power of incumbency. Those old hands of the Alabama Senate are at the top of the list, but there are challengers making in-roads. In open seat races, state representative Billy Beasley had the strongest fundraising total amongst potential newcomers and is just a hair behind Greg Reed in cash-on-hand. Reed’s primary opponent, Howard Garrison also had a very strong quarter. Sitting state representatives Cam Ward and Tammy Irons also look to be clearly in command, from a fundraising standpoint, in the races for SD-14 and SD-1, respectively, beginning the new year.
Several sitting state senators look to have real races on their hands. George Flowers appears to be a strong primary challenge to Sen. Harri-Anne Smith, with his over $100K on hand. Tony Cochran also had a strong report as his cash-on-hand is ahead of all of his potential opponents, including sitting State Sen. Hinton Mitchem. Challenger Paul Bussman is also within striking distance of Sen. Zeb Little.
Maybe one of my readers can explain what’s going on with Sen. Phil Poole. Is he just conceding the race to Rep. Gerald Allen? He got trounced in fundraising and has a serious shortage of cash-on-hand. Tom Whatley is also going to need to significantly pick up the pace to stand a chance against Sen. Ted Little, who he now trails in cash-on-hand 5 to 1.
Any other thoughts or observations are welcome below.
Well, the remaining financial reports in the Alabama governor’s race came out today, and it was a bit of a frenzy keeping up and there has been a good bit of debate over exactly where we stand. One measure to look at is contributions:
Bradley Byrne $2,605,011
Artur Davis $2,174,110
Tim James $1,360,632
Ron Sparks $656,188
Roy Moore $379,880
Robert Bentley $144,067
Kay Ivey $87,019
Bill Johnson $80,405
Another way to look at the numbers is to look at total receipts (this includes loans from the candidate themselves and others):
Bradley Byrne $2,713,474
Artur Davis $2,182,168
Tim James $2,060,632
Kay Ivey $1,861,105
Ron Sparks $1,264,688
Robert Bentley $931,067
Roy Moore $388,880
Bill Johnson $120,405
And finally the one that most of us agree is the “bottom line” to begin 2010, cash on hand:
Tim James $2,618,733
Bradley Byrne $1,824,610
Kay Ivey $1,560,896
Artur Davis $1,391,023
Ron Sparks $836,095
Robert Bentley $733,254
Roy Moore $145,068
Bill Johnson $56,895
Here is a graphic representation put together by Stephen Gordon of the second and third numbers for each candidate (except Tim James, where Stephen included the $2 million Tim James loaned himself in 8/2008 in his total raised, if only so that it didn’t look like he had more cash on hand than he raised).
Now there is a good bit of “funny money” in play here. Almost all of Kay Ivey’s and Robert Bentley’s is their own, almost half of Ron Spark’s and Tim James money as well. Those dollars do not necessarily demonstrate anything in terms of voter support, but a dollar is a dollar when you need it to run a campaign. You also have the $1 million that Artur Davis rolled over from his congressional campaign (no differently than then Congressman Bob Riley did when he ran in 2002).
On the Republican side, my overall assessment is that Byrne and James have separated themselves from the pack. Some folks thought Roy Moore might come out strong, as he did in 2006, but that did not occur and his campaign looks to be DOA, along with that of Bill Johnson. Robert Bentley and Kay Ivey could still play the role of spoilers, provided they are really willing to spend the dough they put out on the reports.
On the Democratic side of things, it’s a little more complicated. Ron Sparks did some magical dollar shuffling of his own to appear as strong as possible in this report, while Artur Davis likely still has quite a bit left in the tank in the fundraising department. However, Davis is also burning through funds at a higher rate than some of the other candidates. He will have to continue to raise at a substantial clip to keep up with that burn rate. Still, the numbers Davis posted help strengthen his front-runner status over Sparks.
Considering all of the controversy surrounding the party switch of Alabama’s 5th Congressional District Rep. Parker Griffith, he isn’t hurting for money. He reported receiving $965,206 in 2009 and had cash on hand of $714,835. Now let’s go inside those numbers…
$399,737 was from individuals, $562,014 was from Political Action Committees (PACs)
One thing I see as notable in Griffith’s report, is people who have maxed themselves out for both the primary and general election…effectively “frontloading” his receipts. I counted at least 10 donors who did this in this cycle. Including candidate for state senate Tom Whatley (here and here).
$2000 from the Chairman of the UAH Board of Trustees Sid McDonald
$1000 from political consultant Joseph Perkins of Matrix LLC
$500 from Space and Rocket Center Executive Director Larry Capps
$250 from State School Board Member Mary Jane Caylor
Notable PAC donors included:
$10,000 (here and here) from Alabama Power Company Employees PAC
$7500 (here, here and here)from the International Association of Firefighters PAC
A number of donations for Democratic Representatives, some of which were returned by the end of the year, the rest, I’m sure, will be shown as returned on the next report
Since the party switch happened so close to the filing deadline, we have no way of knowing how many of these donations will likely be refunded, but the report is notable nonetheless for the size and number of contributions he had received prior to the switch and I’m certain all of us will be looking closely at his next filing to see where he stands post-switch.
The financial disclosures candidates file with the FEC for federal elections are trickling in slowly for the last quarter of 2009. The only sitting Alabama congressman to file his report as of this writing is 1st District Rep. Jo Bonner. Mr. Bonner reported total receipt for the year of $420,998 and cash on hand of $568,412. Of that amount, $220,479 came from individuals and $196,100 from PACS.
Notable donors for Mr. Bonner include:
$10,000 (here and here) from the Alabama Power Employees PAC
$10,000 (here and here)from Employees of Northrup Grumman PAC
$2000 from the President of the University of South Alabama Gordon Moulton
$1550 (hereand here) from former 1st district Rep. Sonny Callahan
The only active candidate for office whose report is showing so far is 2nd District Republican candidate Rick Barber. Mr. Barber showed a total of $15,308 collected, with $2,400 of that being his own money and $12,494 cash on hand.
My friend Danny at Political Parlor had to play some catch-up this past Tuesday, and I have been MIA for even longer. I will be working to try to get back to some form of normalcy here, I appreciate all my readers and friends who have offered support and encouragement during a difficult time for me and my family.
So, what have you missed?
Jeremy Walker announced his run for the HD-73 seat held by Rep. David Grimes. Two days later, the man either Walker or Grimes will likely face in the fall, Montgomery attorney (and grandson of former U.S. Sen. Lister Hill) Joe Hubbard reported raising $50,000 in his first fundraising report.
Gubernatorial candidate Bradley Byrne held a press conference this week accusing the AEA of intimidation because of the way they served him with papers regarding a lawsuit from his time as chancellor of the two-year college system. Byrne was certainly looking for an opportunity to offer an illustration of the opposition he faces, and this gave him a chance to do it.
I hope to get back to a more regular pattern of reporting and commenting in the next few weeks. Thank you for continuing to stop by and feel free to offer your comments on these events below.
The Associated Press is reporting that Alabama Attorney General Troy King’s former chief of staff Chris Bence testified before a federal grand jury today in Montgomery. This cloud has hung over him for the last year, and you would think a resolution would be coming before he goes before the voters yet again in June. Is an indictment finally in the offing or will the grand jury neglect to pull the trigger?
As noted already by Politico (first in a blog, then a full-blown article) and Left in Alabama, candidate for Alabama governor, Rep. Artur Davis released a statement today blasting his primary opponent and advocating taking a step back from healthcare reform to focus on jobs,
Leadership is about building broad support for results. By that definition, it is increasingly obvious that the political process in Washington has failed to lead on health care reform, and that Americans in every corner of the country want a different approach.
It is clear that Alabamians share the same deep concerns. They believe, as I do, that we need to get on with the essential task of revitalizing this economy and getting Americans and Alabamians back to work. They also agree that instead of trying to do too much, Congress should return to a simple focus: helping individuals and businesses afford the cost of insurance and stopping insurance companies from discriminating against sick people.
Ron Sparks, who supports the flawed health care legislation in Washington, should realize that he is not only out of touch with the state he wants to lead, Ron Sparks would even be out of touch in Massachusetts.
To put Sparks’ position in perspective – he supports new mandates and taxes on businesses during the toughest business climate in a generation; he supports raising income taxes and Medicare taxes while the costs of insurance would still keep rising; and he apparently has no problem with a process that has been corrupted with secret deals that favor some states and make the rest of us pay for their special treatment.
Whatever else you say about Congressman Davis, you cannot say he is afraid to lead. The question still remains whether there will be enough people willing to follow. He’s saying the things many Alabamians want to hear, but not necessarily a majority of those in a Democratic primary. I am extremely interested in how this rhetoric is playing with the electorate, or if they’re even listening at all.
“Gaming, bingo, the degree to which we allow, don’t allow gambling, you recognize that we need practical approaches to those issues,” Davis told the group. Davis said the choice really is not whether the state is going to allow gambling or not, because the Poarch Creeks for years have had gaming operations over which the state has no control.
“The real question is, what are the rules of the road going to be? How do we regulate the gaming we have?” Davis said.
The key words in that quote are “practical approaches”…it’s a phrase you will hear over and over again from Rep. Davis and it’s one of the reasons his message resonates with many Alabamians. You can have all the high-minded ideals in the world, but the practicality of how government works (or doesn’t work) and the problems we face is going to stare the next governor right in the face.
Rep. Davis is continuing to hit a strong general election message tone with his statements, it’s a gamble when he is not running unopposed to run this far to the right this early, but it’s also where he is most comfortable. He has been a moderate voice in Congress and it’s apparent the campaign decided to emphasize that, even in the Democratic primary. Will those that are more progressive than the congressman put their support behind Agriculture Commissioner Ron Sparks, remain on the sidelines or swallow the bitter pill and acknowledge that, particularly in 2010, a pragmatic moderate governor who leans a little to the left may be the best they can do?
Today was the 3rd legislative day of the 2010 Regular Session of the Alabama Legislature. The main action in the state Senate was on resolutions, though there was some debate on SB121, which calls for a $1 billion investment in infrastructure, utilizing funds from the Alabama Trust Fund over the next 10 years.
Take a look at a portion of the remarks from the Martin Luther King Jr. day celebration on the steps of the Capitol in Montgomery today. Pay particular attention to what Alabama State Rep. Alvin Homes says about Governor Riley’s decision to refuse federal dollars for unemployment compensation and the governor’s budget proposal, and then that he terms it an “economic statement”, not a “political statement” because “Martin Luther King was not political”.
Overall, I enjoyed the celebration, but I thought some of the statements by Rep. Holmes were inappropriate to the occasion.
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