Krugman on Rollback of the Bush Tax Cut
Is the proposal by many of the Democratic presidential candidates to rollback the Bush tax cuts really sound policy? Paul Krugman doesn’t think so,
So if a Democratic candidate proposes a total rollback of the Bush tax cuts, he’ll be offering an easy target: administration spokespeople will be able to provide reporters with carefully chosen examples of middle-income families who would lose $1,500 or $2,000 a year from tax-cut repeal. By leaving the child tax credits and the cutout in place while proposing to repeal the rest, contenders will recapture most of the revenue lost because of the tax cuts, while making the job of the administration propagandists that much harder.Purists will raise two objections. The first is that an incomplete rollback of the Bush tax cuts won’t be enough to restore long-run solvency. In fact, even a full rollback wouldn’t be enough. According to my rough calculations, keeping the child credits and the cutout while rolling back the rest would close only about half the fiscal gap. But it would be a lot better than current policy.
The other objection is that the tricks used to sell the Bush tax cuts have made an already messy tax system, full of special breaks for particular classes of taxpayers, even messier. Shouldn’t we favor a reform that cleans it up?
In principle, the answer is yes. But an ambitious reform plan would be demagogued and portrayed as a tax increase for the middle class. My guess is that we should propose a selective rollback as the first step, with broader reform to follow.
Will someone be able to find the political sweet spot, the combination of fiscal responsibility and electoral smarts that brings the looting to an end? The future of the nation depends on the answer.
Depending on this lot to find the political “sweet spot” seems like a lost cause to me. This issue should provide a golden opportunity for a candidate who needs some traction and wants to show he/she can manage the economy.