AL-02 Likely R?

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I’m a little surprised that Swing State Project still has Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District as likely Republican. It’s looking like Senator Harri-Anne Smith is going to end up in a runoff in the Republican primary against either David Woods or Jay Love. And on the Democratic side, you have a very strong candidate in Bobby Bright, especially against Love or Woods.

At best this is a Lean R, and depending on who the candidate ends up being it could become a toss-up.

Swing State Project:: SSP’s Competitive House Race Ratings (5/06/08)