Poll Results: When the Alabama Governor’s Field Shrinks, Who Will Be Out?

As we enter 2010, there are nine candidates for Alabama governor in the two major parties:

Democrats:  Agriculture Commissioner Ron Sparks and U.S. Rep. Artur Davis

Republicans: State Treasurer Kay Ivey, State Representative Robert Bentley, Former Chief Justice of the State Supreme Court Roy Moore, Former Chancellor of the Two-Year College System Bradley Byrne, Former ADECA Director Bill Johnson, and Tim James (son of former Governor Fob James)

I conducted a poll on this site over the last two weeks to determine which candidates people though might be out of the race within the next couple of months.  Certainly (as with all online polls) the results are not scientific, but interesting nonetheless.  Let’s start with who is LEAST likely to be leaving the race soon:

• Tim James only received 1 vote in the poll
• Ron Sparks (even with the events of the past week) only got 4 votes
• Artur Davis, only 5
• Bradley Byrne and Roy Moore, only 6

I am certainly in agreement with my readers that these candidates will still be around come March, and most likely through the primary in June.  Next on the list, 18% of those polled believed that all of the candidates will stay in the race (not very likely to my mind).

• Bill Johnson was chosen by 18% of those who voted.  I believe this was likely wishful thinking by some who Johnson is making uncomfortable with his accusations against the current governor.

And my short list of candidates I don’t believe will be around for the primary is the same as you (I love it when we agree),

• Kay Ivey is facing more challenges with the latest decision on the PACT program, though she continues to have the ability to self-fund her campaign, if she so desires.  21% of TWAY voters believed she will be out by March.
• Robert Bentley has been an interesting candidate to watch, but there is little indication that he has gained much traction in either attention or money for his campaign.  26% of voters thought we will be saying good bye to Bentley soon.
• James Potts has not been taken particularly seriously as a candidate, and this poll continues to demonstrate that fact.  32% of voters in the poll believed Potts will not remain in the race.

I thank everyone for voting and encourage you to vote in all our future surveys.  As always, your comments are welcome below.

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