Polls

How will the great bingo debate end?

  • Governor Riley will be proven correct in court, Victoryland and Country Crossing will close (42%, 8 Votes)
  • There will be some resolution outside of a courtroom (32%, 6 Votes)
  • Victoryland and Country Crossing will win in court (26%, 5 Votes)

Total Voters: 19

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Blog Rating

Average blog rating:

9.3

Mysterious Telephone Polling of Statewide Vote on Bingo

I received the following message just now, which was likely just the end of the call:

TRANSCRIPT: …They are not willing to let you vote yes or no on bingo. If you believe that you should have the right to vote on bingo, please press 1. If not, Press. 2.

No identification of who is conducting the poll in the tail end, but it may have been before my voicemail started recording…the phone number was from the 256 area code, but I was unable to trace it to a source.  Anyone else getting this message and does anyone know how the recorded message starts?

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Who’s in the Money: Alabama Senate End of Year Fundraising Reports

Digging a little deeper into the end-of-year fundraising reports that were due yesterday, we can look at the playing field in the Alabama Senate.  I thought the most useful way to sort the data below was by cash on hand, so that is how the table below displays.

 What immediately jumps out is the power of incumbency.  Those old hands of the Alabama Senate are at the top of the list, but there are challengers making in-roads.  In open seat races, state representative Billy Beasley had the strongest fundraising total amongst potential newcomers and is just a hair behind Greg Reed in cash-on-hand.  Reed’s primary opponent, Howard Garrison also had a very strong quarter.  Sitting state representatives Cam Ward and Tammy Irons also look to be clearly in command, from a fundraising standpoint, in the races for SD-14 and SD-1, respectively, beginning the new year.

Several sitting state senators look to have real races on their hands.  George Flowers appears to be a strong primary challenge to Sen. Harri-Anne Smith, with his over $100K on hand.  Tony Cochran also had a strong report as his cash-on-hand is ahead of all of his potential opponents, including sitting State Sen. Hinton Mitchem.  Challenger Paul Bussman is also within striking distance of Sen. Zeb Little.

Maybe one of my readers can explain what’s going on with Sen. Phil Poole.  Is he just conceding the race to Rep. Gerald Allen?  He got trounced in fundraising and has a serious shortage of cash-on-hand.  Tom Whatley is also going to need to significantly pick up the pace to stand a chance against Sen. Ted Little, who he now trails in cash-on-hand 5 to 1.

Any other thoughts or observations are welcome below.

distfirstnamelastnamepcontributionsothersourcescashonhand_d5fpr
11JimPreuittD$28000$700238$740263
8LowellBarronD$432750$6345$577587
6RogerBedfordD$366062$27927$316524
29Harri AnneSmithR$248310$20$253871
2TomButlerD$118275$3816$212191
3ArthurOrrR$200999$204383
10LarryMeansD$143755$21000$165152
27TedLittleD$50900$17514$157058
30WendellMitchellD$0$2270$151750
5GregReedR$57031$100000$147333
28BillyBeasleyD$210700$147021
16JaboWaggonerR$86094$139990
35BenBrooksR$105230$700$112514
12DelMarshR$132175$111819
22MarcKeaheyD$728100$5065$110976
29GeorgeFlowersR$107650$612$108043
15SteveFrenchR$111350$111350$103423
26QuintonRossD$125741$99643
9TonyCochranR$47470$50000$92371
4ZebLittleD$126500$6250$91015
14CamWardR$133759$4247$86866
18RodgerSmithermanD$111500$85618
1TammyIronsD$93874.70$4906.78$82515
24BobbySingletonD$74750$72996
34RustyGloverR$22000$1581$71339
23HankSandersD$0$69500
9HintonMitchemD$15000$42.38$59933
4PaulBussmanR$75264$58134
20LindaColemanD$28950$49627
31JimmyHolleyR$21250$47801
17ScottBeasonR$7840$43884
21GeraldAllenR$46150$40161
7PaulSanfordR$190301$2823$32987
28LocyBakerD$41500$32383
27TomWhatleyR$30701$30611
25DickBrewbakerR$46300$30367
33VivianFiguresD$38500$27334
5HowardGarrisonR$68376$26674
19PriscillaDunnD$57515$26547
32TrippPittmanR$23100$18472
9DonSpurlinR$7050$29091$15986
2BillHoltzclawR$20980$14104
23JamesThomasD$52250$6500$10350
9ClayScofieldR$9100$7373
28JohnnyFordD$14391$10000$6673
21PhilPooleD$23100$48134$5775
9JohnWilsonR$5938$4386
22DannyJoynerR$75720$15000$429
33HermanThomas?$0$0
1RyanClaytonDNO REPORT
4TomBeasonRNO REPORT
4PatriciaMcGriffRWAIVER
5BillCleghornDNO REPORT
5ThadTurnipseedRWAIVER
10PaulPeloquinRNO REPORT
13GregVarnerDWAIVER
23RobertGreenDWAIVER
26DuncanKirkwoodDNO REPORT
28HowardBurtonDNO REPORT
28SamuelHarrisDWAIVER
28HaroldPowellDNO REPORT
28DrewThompsonDNO REPORT
30RayBolesRWAIVER
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Financial Reports in for Alabama Governor’s Race

Well, the remaining financial reports in the Alabama governor’s race came out today, and it was a bit of a frenzy keeping up and there has been a good bit of debate over exactly where we stand.  One measure to look at is contributions:

Bradley Byrne  $2,605,011

Artur Davis  $2,174,110

Tim James $1,360,632

Ron Sparks $656,188

Roy Moore $379,880

Robert Bentley $144,067

Kay Ivey $87,019

Bill Johnson $80,405

Another way to look at the numbers is to look at total receipts (this includes loans from the candidate themselves and others):

Bradley Byrne $2,713,474

Artur Davis  $2,182,168

Tim James $2,060,632

Kay Ivey $1,861,105

Ron Sparks $1,264,688

Robert Bentley $931,067

Roy Moore $388,880

Bill Johnson $120,405

And finally the one that most of us agree is the “bottom line” to begin 2010, cash on hand:

Tim James $2,618,733

Bradley Byrne $1,824,610

Kay Ivey $1,560,896

Artur Davis  $1,391,023

Ron Sparks $836,095

Robert Bentley $733,254

Roy Moore $145,068

Bill Johnson $56,895

Here is a graphic representation put together by Stephen Gordon of the second and third numbers for each candidate (except Tim James, where Stephen included the $2 million Tim James loaned himself in 8/2008 in his total raised, if only so that it didn’t look like he had more cash on hand than he raised).

Now there is a good bit of “funny money” in play here.  Almost all of Kay Ivey’s and Robert Bentley’s is their own, almost half of Ron Spark’s and Tim James money as well.  Those dollars do not necessarily demonstrate anything in terms of voter support, but a dollar is a dollar when you need it to run a campaign.  You also have the $1 million that Artur Davis rolled over from his congressional campaign (no differently than then Congressman Bob Riley did when he ran in 2002).

On the Republican side, my overall assessment is that Byrne and James have separated themselves from the pack.  Some folks thought Roy Moore might come out strong, as he did in 2006, but that did not occur and his campaign looks to be DOA, along with that of Bill Johnson.  Robert Bentley and Kay Ivey could still play the role of spoilers, provided they are really willing to spend the dough they put out on the reports.

On the Democratic side of things, it’s a little more complicated.  Ron Sparks did some magical dollar shuffling of his own to appear as strong as possible in this report, while Artur Davis likely still has quite a bit left in the tank in the fundraising department.  However, Davis is also burning through funds at a higher rate than some of the other candidates.  He will have to continue to raise at a substantial clip to keep up with that burn rate.  Still, the numbers Davis posted help strengthen his front-runner status over Sparks.

I’m interested in your take on the numbers below.

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Inside Rep. Parker Griffith’s almost $1 million in Receipts for 2009

Considering all of the controversy surrounding the party switch of Alabama’s 5th Congressional District Rep. Parker Griffith, he isn’t hurting for money.  He reported receiving $965,206 in 2009 and had cash on hand of $714,835.  Now let’s go inside those numbers…

  • $399,737 was from individuals, $562,014 was from Political Action Committees (PACs)
  • One thing I see as notable in Griffith’s report, is people who have maxed themselves out for both the primary and general election…effectively “frontloading” his receipts.  I counted at least 10 donors who did this in this cycle.  Including candidate for state senate Tom Whatley (here and here).

Notable individual donors also included:

  • $2000 from political consultant Joey Ceci
  • $2000 from HealthSouth CEO Jay Grinney
  • $2000 from the Chairman of the UAH Board of Trustees Sid McDonald
  • $1000 from political consultant Joseph Perkins of Matrix LLC
  • $500 from Space and Rocket Center Executive Director Larry Capps
  • $250 from State School Board Member Mary Jane Caylor

Notable PAC donors included:

  • $10,000 (here and here) from Alabama Power Company Employees PAC
  • $7500 (here, here and here)from the International Association of Firefighters PAC
  • A number of donations for Democratic Representatives, some of which were returned by the end of the year, the rest, I’m sure, will be shown as returned on the next report

Since the party switch happened so close to the filing deadline, we have no way of knowing how many of these donations will likely be refunded, but the report is notable nonetheless for the size and number of contributions he had received prior to the switch and I’m certain all of us will be looking closely at his next filing to see where he stands post-switch.

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Bonner and Barber Continue Trickle of Financial Disclosures

The financial disclosures candidates file with the FEC for federal elections are trickling in slowly for the last quarter of 2009.  The only sitting Alabama congressman to file his report as of this writing is 1st District Rep. Jo Bonner.  Mr. Bonner reported total receipt for the year of $420,998 and cash on hand of $568,412.  Of that amount, $220,479 came from individuals and $196,100 from PACS.

Notable donors for Mr. Bonner include:

$10,000 (here and here) from the Alabama Power Employees PAC

$10,000 (here and here)from Employees of Northrup Grumman PAC

$2000 from the President of the University of South Alabama Gordon Moulton

$1550 (here and here) from former 1st district Rep. Sonny Callahan

$1300 (here, here, here and here) from Ray Cole, VP at Van Scoyoc, and former state director for Sen. Shelby

$1000 from former Lt. Gov. Steve Windom

$1000 from University of Alabama President Robert Witt

$1000 from political consultant Dax Swatek

$500 from former U.S. Ambassador Bill Cabaniss

$500 from prominent lobbyist, UA board member and former state senator Joe Fine

$500 from State Treasurer and gubernatorial candidate Kay Ivey

$500 from gubernatorial candidate Tim James

$250 from Alabama State Revenue Commissioner Tim Russell

$250 from State Rep. Paul DeMarco

$250 from State Rep. Jamie Ison

$200 from State Rep. Victor Gaston

The only active candidate for office whose report is showing so far is 2nd District Republican candidate Rick Barber.  Mr. Barber showed a total of $15,308 collected, with $2,400 of that being his own money and $12,494 cash on hand.

Notable contributors to Mr. Barber included:

$2400 from Nadine Sims, a retiree in Ennis, Texas

$2400 from Charles Exley of Grosse Pointe, Michigan

$1500 from Alan and Sarah Walker of Falls Churc, Virginia

$1200 from Dr. Vaughn Mancha of Montgomery

$1000 from Brandy Adams of Arlington, Texas

$1000 from Joe Hudson, owner of Joe Hudson Collission Center in Montgomery, Alabama

Just the first of many financial disclosures to pour over in the coming weeks.  Comments are welcome below.

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Friday Recap – What You May Have Missed

My friend Danny at Political Parlor had to play some catch-up this past Tuesday, and I have been MIA for even longer.  I will be working to try to get back to some form of normalcy here, I appreciate all my readers and friends who have offered support and encouragement during a difficult time for me and my family.

So, what have you missed?

I hope to get back to a more regular pattern of reporting and commenting in the next few weeks.  Thank you for continuing to stop by and feel free to offer your comments on these events below.

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Federal Grand Jury Still Investigating AG King

The Associated Press is reporting that Alabama Attorney General Troy King’s former chief of staff Chris Bence testified before a federal grand jury today in Montgomery.  This cloud has hung over him for the last year, and you would think a resolution would be coming before he goes before the voters yet again in June.  Is an indictment finally in the offing or will the grand jury neglect to pull the trigger?

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Davis Advocates Pressing the Reset Button on Healthcare, Focusing on Jobs

As noted already by Politico (first in a blog, then a full-blown article) and Left in Alabama, candidate for Alabama governor, Rep. Artur Davis released a statement today blasting his primary opponent and advocating taking a step back from healthcare reform to focus on jobs,

Leadership is about building broad support for results.  By that definition, it is increasingly obvious that the political process in Washington has failed to lead on health care reform, and that Americans in every corner of the country want a different approach.

It is clear that Alabamians share the same deep concerns. They believe, as I do, that we need to get on with the essential task of revitalizing this economy and getting Americans and Alabamians back to work. They also agree that instead of trying to do too much, Congress should return to a simple focus: helping individuals and businesses afford the cost of insurance and stopping insurance companies from discriminating against sick people.

Ron Sparks, who supports the flawed health care legislation in Washington, should realize that he is not only out of touch with the state he wants to lead, Ron Sparks would even be out of touch in Massachusetts.

To put Sparks’ position in perspective – he supports new mandates and taxes on businesses during the toughest business climate in a generation; he supports raising income taxes and Medicare taxes while the costs of insurance would still keep rising; and he apparently has no problem with a process that has been corrupted with secret deals that favor some states and make the rest of us pay for their special treatment.

Whatever else you say about Congressman Davis, you cannot say he is afraid to lead.  The question still remains whether there will be enough people willing to follow.  He’s saying the things many Alabamians want to hear, but not necessarily a majority of those in a Democratic primary.  I am extremely interested in how this rhetoric is playing with the electorate, or if they’re even listening at all.

There was also an article today describing comments Rep. Davis made to the District Attorneys Association on Wednesday regarding gambling,

“Gaming, bingo, the degree to which we allow, don’t allow gambling, you recognize that we need practical approaches to those issues,” Davis told the group. Davis said the choice really is not whether the state is going to allow gambling or not, because the Poarch Creeks for years have had gaming operations over which the state has no control.

“The real question is, what are the rules of the road going to be? How do we regulate the gaming we have?” Davis said.

The key words in that quote are “practical approaches”…it’s a phrase you will hear over and over again from Rep. Davis and it’s one of the reasons his message resonates with many Alabamians.  You can have all the high-minded ideals in the world, but the practicality of how government works (or doesn’t work) and the problems we face is going to stare the next governor right in the face.

Rep. Davis is continuing to hit a strong general election message tone with his statements, it’s a gamble when he is not running unopposed to run this far to the right this early, but it’s also where he is most comfortable.  He has been a moderate voice in Congress and it’s apparent the campaign decided to emphasize that, even in the Democratic primary.  Will those that are more progressive than the congressman put their support behind Agriculture Commissioner Ron Sparks, remain on the sidelines or swallow the bitter pill and acknowledge that, particularly in 2010, a pragmatic moderate governor who leans a little to the left may be the best they can do?

I’m interested in your comments below.

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PAC-to-PAC and Texting While Driving Bans Pass the House – 3rd Legislative Day Summary

Today was the 3rd legislative day of the 2010 Regular Session of the Alabama Legislature.  The main action in the state Senate was on resolutions, though there was some debate on SB121, which calls for a $1 billion investment in infrastructure, utilizing funds from the Alabama Trust Fund over the next 10 years.

The House, on the other hand, was extremely busy passing bills.  The PAC-to-PAC ban passed without a single no vote…again.  We all hope that it will finally pass the Senate this time.  There was also a bill approved that would allow TVA money paid to north Alabama counties to remain in north Alabama instead of being re-distributed to “dry” counties. A bill to seize the property of sex offenders was also passed without a dissenting vote.  Finally, the House passed the ban on texting while driving, 95-3.

In other news today, the Governor revealed some additional details about the incident that precipitated the resignation of the head of his illegal gaming taskforce.  Also, about 200 tea party supporters showed up at the State House for a rally, including several Republican gubernatorial hopefuls.

 

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Alabama Rep. Alvin Holmes has a slightly different definition of “political”

Take a look at a portion of the remarks from the Martin Luther King Jr. day celebration on the steps of the Capitol in Montgomery today.  Pay particular attention to what Alabama State Rep. Alvin Homes says about Governor Riley’s decision to refuse federal dollars for unemployment compensation and the governor’s budget proposal, and then that he terms it an “economic statement”, not a “political statement” because “Martin Luther King was not political”.

This video was embedded using the YouTuber plugin by Roy Tanck. Adobe Flash Player is required to view the video.

Overall, I enjoyed the celebration, but I thought some of the statements by Rep. Holmes were inappropriate to the occasion.

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