The World Around You

Unfortunately, my assessment/prediction yesterday was correct, Senator Obama did lose both of the big states yesterday. Yet, we’re now back in the situation that he has the majority of votes, the majority of pledged delegates and the majority of states, how do you deny him the nomination?

Unfortunately, yesterday the Clinton campaign gained a narrative their own, what big state has Obama won? What purple states has Obama won? The winner of the general election in Ohio has consistently won the presidency and Obama didn’t even win it in the primary.

Obama’s momentum has officially been stopped, but where we go from here is anyone’s guess.

Based on my reading of reports and the tea leaves today it appears that the series of events the Obama campaign expected to occur today WERE:

1. Obama wins the popular vote and delegate race (convincingly) in Texas, and either wins or loses Ohio by a hair.

2. They announce he raised $55-60 million dollars last month.

3. They announce he has received 50 new superdelegate commitments (thank you Tom Brokaw).

4. The combination of 1,2, and 3 would be the equivalent of a knockout blow to the Clinton candidacy.

The problem is that #1 doesn’t look like it’s going to happen…so what do you do with 2 and 3? The fundraising numbers have to come out, but do you announce the superdelegate commitments all at once, or let them trickle out over the course of the next few weeks?

It will be a very interesting evening, but an even more interesting next 3-5 days.